Parabolic SAR Dot Breakout Strategy

The strategy is very simple and works very well. You can find a lot of trading opportunities using this strategy. This strategy involves only parabolic SAR indicator with default settings.

Indicators:

Parabolic SAR with default settings (Step: 0.02, Maximum: 0.2)

Time Frame: Hourly

But you need to observe the parabolic SAR on the higher time frame of daily chart.

Markets Sessions Suitable:

Do not use this method during Asian market session. Normally this set up works before the beginning of UK market where breakouts occur.

Long Trade:

Parabolic SAR dots must be below the daily time frame candlesticks.

Parabolic SAR dots must be above the hourly candlestick and a strong bullish candlestick should cross the last Parabolic SAR dot in the upward direction.

Stop Loss:

Use a stop loss of 5 pips below the entry candlestick.

Take Profit:

Use a take profit of two times the body of the candlestick that passed through the parabolic dot.

Example:

The following is a NZDUSD daily chart and I have drawn two blue lines and highlighted the area where all the parabolic dots are below the daily candlesticks.

NZDUSD Daily Trend

Now go to the one hour chart. The following is the one hour chart for the same and since this is a long picture I divided into two parts. The following is the first part. You can see the trading opportunities and we have two trading opportunities in the first part.

NZDUSD Hourly Chart Opportunities 1 and 2

The following is the second part of the picture. You can see two more trading opportunities but one is a lost trade.

NZDUSD Hourly Chart Opportunities 3 and 4

So in total, you can see four trading opportunities out of which three are winning trades and one is a losing trade.

Short Trade:

Parabolic SAR dots must be above the daily time frame candlesticks.

Parabolic SAR dots must be below the hourly candlestick and a strong bearish candlestick should cross the last Parabolic SAR dot in the downward direction.

Stop Loss:

Use a stop loss of 5 pips above the entry candlestick.

Take Profit:

Use a take profit of two times the body of the candlestick that passed through the parabolic dot.

Example:

The following is a EURCHF daily chart and I have drawn two blue lines and highlighted the area where all the parabolic dots are above the daily candlesticks.

EURCHF Daily Trend

Now go to the hourly chart. Here I am showing only part of the hourly picture as there are a lot of trading opportunities and there will be a lot of pictures. You can see the trading opportunities in the following picture.

EURCHF Hourly Chart Opportunities 1 and 2 and 3

Note: Always move your stop loss to your entry when you are in some profit.

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Raj’s Forex Strategies

These are a series of articles in which I will be explaining a few strategies that I use. These are all day trading strategies and they work very well. I will be explaining each strategy with examples for long and short trades and when to use these strategies and when not to use. I will be giving analysis for these strategies for different currency pairs for different years. These are for educational purpose only and you need a lot of practice. Make sure that you do demo trading first before using these strategies.

Raj’s Forex Strategy 1

  1. Strategy
  2. Short Trade Example
  3. Long Trade Example
  4. When you should not use this strategy
  5. Drawing Trend Lines Correctly
  6. Few More Examples for this strategy
  7. Analysis
  • Analysis for GBPUSD currency pair
  • Year 2010, Year 2009, Year 2008, Year 2007, Year 2006, Year 2005, Year 2004, Year 2003, Year 2002, Year 2001, Year 2000
  • Take profit estimations for GBPUSD Currency Pair
  • Analysis For EURUSD Currency Pair
  • Year 2010, Year 2009, Year 2008, Year 2007, Year 2006, Year 2005, Year 2004, Year 2003, Year 2002, Year 2001, Year 2000
  • Take Profit Estimations for EURUSD Currency Pair
  • Analysis for USDCHF currency pair
  • Year 2010, Year 2009, Year 2008, Year 2007, Year 2006, Year 2005, Year 2004, Year 2003, Year 2002, Year 2001, Year 2000
  • Take profit estimations for USDCHF Currency Pair Analysis For USDJPY Currency Pair

I am presently doing the analysis for different strategies for different currency pairs. I will provide links for the different years whenever I am done with the analysis. I will adding more to this post like other strategies and analysis for other currency pairs for different strategies.

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Free 15 Minute Trading Technique Ebook

The following is a free ebook that contains a system I developed. The system is mainly about observing the hourly graph and the trend and observing the indicators in 15 min. chart and entering the trades in 15 min. chart. I have used three moving averages and MACD in hourly chart and Stochastic and CCI in 15 min. chart. Check the system and do a demo trading first. I think you like the system. Please let me know what you think about the system and if any improvements can be made to that. By the way I am also provide a free template you can use. Save the zipped folder and extract the files and you will see the ebook and the template.

15 min trading (Right on the link and save it to your system).

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Forex Symmetrial Triangles

Symmetrical Triangles:

Symmetrical triangles are very common forex chart patterns. These represent a period of indecision. Symmetrical triangles are usually considered as a continuation of overall trend. A symmetrical triangle should contain at least two lower highs and two higher lows. When you see these higher lows and lower highs and join them a symmetrical triangle takes shape. Triangles represent a battle between buyers & sellers. This means that either buyers or sellers are not pushing the price far enough to make a clear trend.

Symmetrical triangles tend to breakout in the direction of the previous trend.

Check the following picture. It is showing higher lows and lower highs. When joined those lower highs and higher lows it formed a symmetrical triangle.

Forex Symmetrical Triangle

Forex Symmetrical Triangle

Trading Entry: Enter the trade when the top trend line or the bottom trend line is broken with a strong candlestick. A strong candlestick means a candlestick which has a large body with relatively small tails or no tails at all. Check the following picture. In the following picture the top trend line is broken with a strong candlestick. It does not have long tails compared to the body of the candlestick. So its a good opportunity to enter a long trade.

symmetrical triangle broken with a strong candlestick

symmetrical triangle broken with a strong candlestick

If the candlestick has a long tail compared to the body of the candlestick and if the tail and not the body of the candlestick that break the top trend line or the bottom trend line then do not enter the trade. For example check the following picture. In the following picture a symmetrical triangle is shown and the symmetrical triangle top trend line is broken by the tail of the candlestick and not the body of the candlestick. Moreover the candlestick has a long tail compared to the body of the candlestick. So its not a good opportunity to enter the trade.

symmetrical triangle broken with a tail and not with the candlestick body

symmetrical triangle broken with a tail and not with the candlestick body

Take profit and stop loss:

Measure the base of the triangle. The price difference should be the same amount as the breakout.

We measure the base of the triangle by taking the price difference between the highest high and the lowest low once the triangle has started to form. Once breakout occurs enter trade. Set stop inside triangle. Set target (limit) for less than amount of the triangle base. Monitor trade until exit price is achieved. Breakouts from triangles tend to occur very quickly.

Check the following picture. In the following picture the difference between the highest high and the lowest low is 60 pips. So the potential break out will be 60 pips. Once the top trend line is broken by the candlestick, it penetrated 10 pips upwards. So the profit should be 50 more pips. But always use some less number of pips than the actual target. Since in the above example there are 50 pips more for profit put the take profit level 5 pips less than the original that means 45 pips. Set stop loss around 5 to 10 pips below the top trend line with in the triangle.

Take profit and stop loss

Take profit and stop loss

The following are some of the real time examples of the symmetrical triangles formed on different currency pairs price charts.

EURUSD Hourly Chart Symmetrical Triangle:

EURUSD hourly chart symmetrical triangle

EURUSD hourly chart symmetrical triangle

NZDUSD four hour chart symmetrical triangle:

NZDUSD four hour chart symmetrical triangle

NZDUSD four hour chart symmetrical triangle

USDCAD hourly chart symmetrical triangle:

USDCAD hourly chart symmetrical triangle

USDCAD hourly chart symmetrical triangle

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Forex Rectangles

Forex Rectangle Patterns:

A forex rectangle pattern is technical analysis pattern consisting of horizontal lines called support and resistance lines. Rectangles are used for channels or Breakout Trades. Generally forex rectangle patterns are considered as continuation patterns. To say a pattern as a rectangle pattern, it should have at least four pivot points two at the top resistance line and two at the bottom support line. It is considered a period of indecision. Confirm top and bottom with four pivot points. Two on top, two on bottom. Some times rectangles may form with more than four pivot points. For example you may find a rectangle with 6 pivot points, three at the top and three at the bottom. This is ok. But a rectangle should have have at least four points with two at the top and two at the bottom.

The following is an example picture of how a rectangle pattern looks like in a down trend. It is drawn using four pivot points, two at the top resistance line and two at the bottom resistance line. If any of these resistance lines broken in any direction it’s a good opportunity to enter the trade in that direction. Since rectangles are considered as continuation trend patterns I showed that it is breaking in the downward direction. It may not be true always. Sometimes it may break the rectangle in the reverse direction also.

forex rectanle

Forex Rectangle Pattern

Trading Entry:

Enter the trade when the support or resistance line is broken with a strong candlestick. A strong candlestick means a candlestick which has a large body with relatively small tails or no tails at all. Check the following picture. In the following picture the support line is broken with a strong candlestick. It does not have long tails compared to the body of the candlestick. So its a good opportunity to enter a short trade.

Forex rectangle broken with a strong candle stick

Forex rectangle broken with a strong candle stick

If the candlestick has a long tail compared to the body of the candlestick and if its the tail and not the body of the candlestick that broke the support or resistance line then do not enter the trade. For example check the following picture. In the following picture a rectangle is showing and the rectangle is broken by the tail of the candlestick and not the body of the candlestick. Moreover the candlestick has a long tail compared to the body of the candlestick. So its not a good opportunity to enter the trade.

Forex rectangle broken by the tail of the candlestick and not the body

Forex rectangle broken by the tail of the candlestick and not the body

So whenever the support or resistance line is broken with a strong candlestick wait for the candlestick to the completed. When the candlestick completed enter the trade

Take profit and stop loss levels:

Measure the difference between top & bottom that means the resistance and support lines. The difference is expected to be roughly the same as the potential breakout. When breakout occurs enter into trade. Set stops inside the rectangle & Set target (limit) for less than the difference between top and bottom rectangle. Remember target price is measured from rectangle. Monitor the trade until exit price is achieved.

Check the following picture. In the following picture the difference between the resistance and support line is 40 pips. So the potential break out will be 40 pips. Once the support line is broken by the candlestick penetrated 10 pips downward. So the profit should be 30 pips more. But always use some less number of pips than the actual target. Since in the above example there are 30 pips more for profit put the take profit level 5 pips less than the original that means 25 pips. Set stop loss around 5 to 10 pips above the support line with in the rectangle.

Stop loss and take profit levels

Stop loss and take profit levels

If the market tests the original support or resistance levels of the rectangle it can be an opportunity to reenter the original trade. That means sometimes the price charts my retrace back to the support line or resistance line then its another good opportunity to enter the trading.

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Forex Chart Formations

What are chart formations?

Chart formations are naturally occurring patterns in forex trading. These patterns indicate future breakouts in forex trading. If you can identify these patterns you can much better benefit in forex trading as you can identify the break outs. The entire goal is to spot big price movements before they happen so that you can take advantage of them. Using these chart formations gives us a very good opportunity to identify these big price movements when they are about to happen.

There are many patterns in technical analysis like candlesticks techniques etc. But here I am going to deal with the traditional price vs time charts that can be visually identified on price charts.

Why do chart formations work?

Chart formations are one of the simplest technical analysis that anyone can do. Technical analysis makes the assumption that history repeats itself. They have been in practice for a long time and most of the traders follow them. Not only for forex, these chart formations also work for other things like stocks, commodities etc. Most of the traders always look for these chart formations and whenever a formation is there traders will try to enter trading so these chart formations always work.

Why should I use chart formations?

If you are new to forex and if you don’t know much about technical analysis chart formations are one of the simplest technical analysis you can do as it is very easy to understand and apply them. Even if you are an advanced trader then also you can use it as this is very powerful technical analysis. Chart formations offer very simple approach to find trading opportunities. As you can directly spot the formations just by looking at the charts they are very powerful.

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